NFL Week 15: Chaos Season Hits the Home Stretch
The NFL playoff race is unpredictable as unexpected teams and players are emerging as contenders, with surprising potential playoff scenarios unfolding.
The unpredictability is staggering. With four weeks left and all bye weeks finished, the playoff race intensifies with every snap—and the contenders look nothing like anyone predicted.
Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Joe Burrow could all miss the playoffs. Meanwhile, Philip Rivers might be heading to January after sitting out for four years.
More madness: Denver and New England are both riding 10-game winning streaks—and both are underdogs at home this week.
Week 15 Best Bets
FALCONS @ BUCCANEERS
Best Bet: Under 44 combined points
Baker Mayfield's MVP-caliber form vanished weeks ago. The Bucs' offense has cratered while Tampa's defense remains porous. Atlanta limped away from Seattle after a 6-6 halftime tie that got blown open. The teams met in Week 1 with Tampa winning 23-20. Expect a similarly low-scoring affair.
BILLS @ PATRIOTS
Best Bet: Josh Allen Over 35.5 rushing yards
Buffalo's AFC East hopes hinge on winning in Foxboro. Sunday brings freezing temperatures and snow—exactly the conditions where Allen thrives running the ball. He torched Cincinnati for 78 rushing yards last week. Another ground-heavy game awaits.
JETS @ JAGUARS
Best Bet: Trevor Lawrence Over 0.5 interceptions
New York's defense hasn't recorded a single interception in nearly two weeks. That's a record-setting drought. Lawrence has thrown 11 interceptions this season and isn't afraid to let it fly. The Jets are overdue to end the longest streak in NFL history.
BROWNS @ BEARS
Best Bet: Caleb Williams Under 29.5 pass attempts
Single-digit temperatures and winds up to 20 mph will dominate Sunday's forecast. As heavy favorites facing a rookie QB, expect Chicago to lean hard on their running game rather than ask Williams to air it out.
RAVENS @ BENGALS
Best Bet: Lamar Jackson Over 30.5 rushing yards
Jackson finally showed he's healing from injury. Last week, he rushed seven times for 43 yards and a touchdown—his best performance since Week 4. Cincinnati just surrendered 78 rushing yards to Josh Allen. The two-time MVP is ready to unleash his legs.
CARDINALS @ TEXANS
Best Bet: Cardinals +9.5
Houston's elite defense has everyone convinced they're a playoff juggernaut. Arizona just got embarrassed by the Rams in a lost season. But 9.5 points is massive. The Texans' offense is still mediocre. Buy low on the Cardinals—they'll keep it close.
RAIDERS @ EAGLES
Best Bet: Under 38.5 combined points
Kenny Pickett starts for the Raiders against his former team. Philadelphia's defense is playing solid football while the offense remains dysfunctional. Points will be scarce.
CHARGERS @ CHIEFS
Best Bet: Chiefs -5.5
Kansas City gets one more week of "Are they making a run?" conversation. The Chargers won last week by forcing five turnovers, but their decimated offensive line and Justin Herbert's hand injury spell trouble in frigid Kansas City.
COMMANDERS @ GIANTS
Best Bet: Longest field goal made Under 49.5 yards
Temperatures in the 20s, snow, and wind create brutal kicking conditions. Both teams have cycled through multiple kickers this season. Long field goal attempts—and makes—won't happen.
COLTS @ SEAHAWKS
Best Bet: Colts team total Under 14.5 points
Either rookie Riley Leonard makes his first start or 44-year-old Phil Rivers takes the field for the first time since January 2021. Either way, scoring against Seattle's elite defense will be nearly impossible.
PACKERS @ BRONCOS
Best Bet: Packers -2.5
Denver's 10-game winning streak came against mediocre competition and in close games. Green Bay is a completely different animal—a well-balanced team that punishes inconsistency. The streak ends.
TITANS @ 49ERS
Best Bet: Cam Ward Over 190.5 passing yards
As 12.5-point underdogs, Tennessee will be forced to throw constantly. San Francisco ranks 25th against the pass, allowing 236 yards per game through the air.
LIONS @ RAMS
Best Bet: Lions +6
Los Angeles has obliterated bad teams. But they've given up 31 to Carolina and 33 to Philadelphia. They haven't faced elite offenses. Detroit leads the league in yards per play and points per game. Six points is too many.
PANTHERS @ SAINTS
Best Bet: Saints +2.5
Carolina is 2-15 ATS in its last 17 games as a favorite. They're a feel-good story, but laying points on the road against a scrappy Saints team is a mistake.
VIKINGS @ COWBOYS
Best Bet: Jake Ferguson anytime TD scorer
Minnesota's blitz-heavy defense leaves tight ends vulnerable over the middle. With CeeDee Lamb's status uncertain, Ferguson will see an increased role Sunday night.
DOLPHINS @ STEELERS
Best Bet: Steelers -3
Teens temperature forecast heavily favors Pittsburgh. Tua Tagavailoa has consistently struggled in cold weather. Expect the same Sunday.