The Long Shot: Inside the Odds for the NFL Draft's Final Pick
Bookmakers have created a betting market around predicting the position of the final NFL Draft pick, known as Mr. Irrelevant, with occasional surprises defying expectations.
Bookmakers have turned the NFL Draft's least glamorous moment into a betting market: predicting which position will claim the final pick, known as Mr. Irrelevant.
The label sticks because players selected last rarely leave a mark on the league. But history occasionally delivers surprises.
Current Odds at DraftKings (as of March 23)
- Defensive Line/Edge: +380
- Wide Receiver: +400
- Offensive Lineman: +450
- Running Back: +600
- Cornerback: +700
- Linebacker: +800
- Safety: +1100
- Quarterback: +1200
- Tight End: +1500
- Kicker/Punter/Long Snapper: +2000
When Last Pick Winners Defy Expectations
Brock Purdy shattered the Mr. Irrelevant curse entirely. The San Francisco quarterback, drafted last in 2022, led the 49ers to a Super Bowl appearance, finished fourth in 2023 MVP voting, and earned Pro Bowl honors in 2024.
Grant Stuard, a linebacker from Houston selected 259th in 2021 by Tampa Bay, has played at least 15 games in each of his four seasons. In 2024, he recorded 25 solo tackles and 15 assists for the Lions.
Tae Crowder, a Georgia linebacker drafted last in 2020, compiled 232 total tackles, two sacks, and two interceptions during three seasons with the New York Giants before signing with the UFL's Birmingham Stallions in 2025.
